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The Pentagon Papers of Y2K
Cities At Risk From The Y2K Computer Crisis
by Jim Lord
Secret Government Study Reveals
Massive Y2K Problems
in American Cities
How many days could New York City survive without water and sewer services? How long would it take to evacuate
eight million people in the dead of winter? Would thousands die in the process? Tens of thousands? More? When would
the rioting and looting begin? How many National Guard troops would it take to control the largest city in the
nation? What unthinkable devastation would be wrought on the global financial system? How might our enemies seize
on the ensuing panic and confusion?
Are these the crazed speculations of a Y2K alarmist? Not if
you know what the US Navy and Marine Corps know. According to a June 1999 report titled, "Master Utility List",
they believe "total failure is likely" for New York Cit's water and sewer systems because of Y2K problems.
And they're holding this information back.
The Navy Department assessment is not limited to New York
City; it covers all their shore facilities in the world - nearly 500
locations. The results are horrifying. They expect more than 26 million American citizens in 125 cities to be without
electricity, water, gas or sewer services next January. Many more would be affected in foreign countries. London,
England for example is expected to experience failures of all four types of utilities. Many of the people impacted
by these failures would be military personnel and their families.
And the Navy Department isn't telling anyone.
Forty-five of the cities named in the survey have population
greater than 100,000. Eight of the nation's dozen largest
metropolitan areas are affected. Hereís what the Navy expects:
Dallas - no water.
Washington DC and Philadelphia - no gas
Baltimore, Houston, New York and Miami - no water or sewer.
Atlanta - no water or gas
San Antonio - no water or electricity.
Fort Worth and New Orleans - no water, gas or sewer services.
And the Navy Department is saying nothing.
Cities at Risk
The information presented below is based on a US Navy/Marine Corps survey dated June 1999. The survey was conducted
to determine the risk of utility failures at military facilities worldwide. Only United States information is shown.
Each of the three tables below shows a list of cities and the
Y2K exposure of the major utilities in each city. The columns
labeled E, W, G and S refer to the Electrical, Water, Gas and Sewer utilities. An "x" in the column indicates
that utility is expected to fail. To view expanded information on each city including the names of specific utilities,
visit www.JimLord.to on the web.
Three levels of possible failure are indicated in the Navy
document.
Each table in this summary lists one of these levels.
1) Partial failure is probable.
2) Partial failure is likely.
3) Total failure is likely.
The terms "probable", "likely", "partial" and "total" are Navy terminology
and were not clearly defined in the
documentation. The terms "likely" and "total" however, represent the worst condition.
Cities in bold have populations greater than 100,000. Many
of the utilities listed service many more customers than shown here.
43 cities where "partial failure is probable."
City Population E W G S
Amarillo TX 158,000 x x x x
Annapolis MD 33,000 x
Arlington VA 171,000 x
Avoca PA 3,000 x
Baton Rouge LA 220,000 x
Bethesda MD 63,000 x
Broussard LA 3,000 x
Carderock MD x
Charlotte NC 396,000 x x
Columbus OH 633,000 x
Corpus Christi TX 257,000 x
Crane IN x
Dallas TX 1,007,000 x
Dayton OH 182,000 x x
Duluth MN 85,000 x x
El Paso TX 515,000 x x
Forest Park IL 15,000 x x
Greensboro NC 184,000 x
Highland Park IL 31,000 x
Houston TX 1,631,000 x x
Ingleside TX 6,000 x
Key West FL 25,000 x x x
Knoxville TN 165,000 x x x
Lewisville AR 1,000 x
Lexington Park MD 10,000 x
Millington TN 18,000 x x
Mobile AL 196,000 x x
Montgomery AL 187,000 x x
Newport News VA 170,000 x
Norfolk VA 261,000 x x
Pascagoula MS 26,000 x x x
Peoria IL 114,000 x
Philadelphia PA 1,586,000 x
Portsmouth VA 104,000 x
San Antonio TX 936,000 x x
Sheboygan WI 50,000 x x
Sugar Grove WV x
Truth or Conseq. NM6,000x
Tulsa OK 367,000 x x
Washington DC 610,000 x
Waukegan IL 69,000 x
West Palm Beach 68,000 x x
Yorktown VA x
38 cities where "partial failure is likely."
City Population E W G S
Albany GA 78,000 x x x x
Atlanta GA 394,000 x x
Atlantic Beach FL12,000 x x x
Augusta GA 234,000 x
Beaufort SC 10,000 x x
Bessemer AL 33,000 x x x x
Bossier City LA 53,000 x
Cape Canaveral FL8,000 x
Charleston SC 80,000 x x x
Chattanooga TN 152,000 x x
Clearwater FL 99,000 x x x
Columbia SC 98,000 x x x
Columbus GA 179,000 x
Fort Lauderdale 149,000 x x x
Fort Worth TX 448,000 x x x
Greenville NC 45,000 x
Gulfport MS 41,000 x x x
Harlingen TX 49,000 x
Hawkinsville GA 4,000 x
Hollandale MS 4,000 x
Jacksonville FL 635,000 x x x
Kingsville TX 25,000 x
Meridian MS 41,000 x x
Miami FL 359,000 x x
Milton FL 7,000 x x x x
Nashville TN 488,000 x x x
New Orleans LA 497,000 x x x
Orange City FL x x x
Orlando FL 165,000 x x x x
Panama City FL 35,000 x x x
Pensacola FL 58,000 x x x
Raleigh NC 208,000 x x
Slidell LA 24,000 x x x
Smyrna GA 31,000 x x
St Marys GA 8,000 x
Sullivans Island SC2,000 x x
Waco TX 104,000 x
Wetumpka AL 5,000 x
44 cities where "total failure is likely."
City Population E W G S
Baltimore MD 736,000 x x
Bethlehem PA 71,000 x x
Bremerton WA 38,000 x x
Brunswick ME 15,000 x
Buffalo NY 328,000 x x
Coronado CA 27,000 x
Dahlgren VA 1,000 x x
Earl NJ x x
Erie PA 109,000 x x
Fallbrook CA 22,000 x
Glen Falls NY 15,000 x x
Great Falls MT 55,000 x x x
Hartford CT 140,000 x x
Huntington WV 58,000 x
Imperial Beach CA27,000 x
Kearney NJ 35,000 x x x
Lakehurst NJ 3,000 x x
Mechanicsburg PA9,000 x x
Morehead City NC6,000 x x
National City CA54,000 x
New London CT 29,000 x x x x
New York City NY7,323,000 x x
Newport RI 29,000 x x
Oak Grove NC x
Oak Harbor WA 17,000 x x
Ogden UT 64,000 x
Pacific Beach WA1,000 x
Plaineville CT 16,000 x x
Pomona CA 132,000 x x
Port Hadlock WA 3,000 x
Port of Seattle WA x x x
Portsmouth NH 26,000 x x
Providence RI 161,000 x x
Quantico VA 1,000 x x x
Reading PA 78,000 x x
Reno NV 134,000 x
Rochester NY 232,000 x x
San Jose CA 782,000 x
Seal Beach CA 25,000 x x
Trenton NJ 89,000 x x
Warminster PA 36,000 x x
Watertown NY 29,000 x x x
Weymouth MA x x x
Williamsport PA 32,000 x x
Where It Came From
This information came from the US Navy and Marine Corps
(Department of the Navy). They were apparently tasked to conduct a study of the Y2K exposure of their worldwide
shore facilities. A copy of this study made its way into my hands.
Military bases in the United States are rarely
self-sufficient when it comes to utilities such as electricity, water, gas and sewer. These services are almost
always provided by the local economy. From a Y2K standpoint, this leaves the bases at the mercy of the local utility
providers. Nearly five hundred bases were assessed; approximately one third are expected to experience utility
failures.
These figures are completely out of whack with the federal
government's August 1999 Y2K assessment which says, "It is highly unlikely that there will be national disruptions
in electric power service on January 1, 2000. (I)t is expected that any (gas disruptions) that do occur will have
minimal impact upon consumers. (I)t is increasingly unlikely that the date change will create disruptions in water
service."
Mr. Koskinen, you need to check with the folks over at the
Pentagon. They seem to have a different opinion. Or is it possible you already know about this information?
The information was obtained from a confidential source of
the highest reliability and integrity. The identity of this source will be staunchly protected. I don't have a
copy of the detailed
assessments of the individual bases nor do I possess the information on Army or Air Force bases. I am submitting
a request for these documents through the Freedom of Information Act (FOIA), however. (In fact, I encourage you
to help out by submitting your own FOIA request for these documents.)
The information from the bases and other facilities was
compiled into an eight-page spreadsheet that is titled "Utility Master List" and dated June 1999. No
other markings appear on the papers. In particular, (and this is of crucial importance) the document is not stamped
or labeled with any national security classification markings.
Impact on Military Readiness
These revelations imply a severe effect on military readiness
in the United States and at several important locations overseas. In this country, for example the major Marine
Corps bases at Quantico, Virginia and Camp LeJeune, North Carolina are expected to experience utility failures.
The latter is of special personal concern - my son and his family are stationed there.
Another essential but not widely appreciated Marine Corps
facility is at special risk. The base at Albany, Georgia is the hub of all USMC logistics activities. The inability
of this base to provide services would pose a devastating threat to the entire US Marine Corps. Albany is one of
three unfortunate cities expected to have utility failures in all four areas: electricity, water, gas and sewer.
The US Navy expects serious problems as well. The extensive
complex of facilities at their primary east-coast port at
Norfolk/Portsmouth, Virginia is projected to be without water or natural gas. The Navy Space Command at Dahlgren,
Virginia; is in jeopardy. The Naval Air Stations at North Island, California; Whidby Island, Washington, Cecil
Field, Florida; and Pensacola, Florida are at risk. The key submarine bases at Kings Bay, Georgia and New London,
Connecticut are on the list. The latter is another of the three stateside locations expected to have failures of
all four types of utilities.
The facility at Mechanicsburg, Pennsylvania is also of
special concern. Much of the US Navyís logistics support is conducted at this base which is expected to
see both gas and sewer failures.
Overseas, critical bases at Rota, Spain; Sigonella and
Naples, Italy; (headquarters of the Mediterranean (6th) Fleet); Bahrain; Guam; Puerto Rico; and Okinawa are impacted.
Of the ten facilities listed in the United Kingdom, all (mostly in London) were expected to experience failures
of all four utilities.
Potential Repercussions
I don't imagine the government (the Navy Department in
particular) is going to be very pleased that this information has made its way into the sunlight. If we all do
our job, they are going to come under some pretty intense scrutiny. Several people who have seen this report opined
that I could be in financial, legal or even physical jeopardy. Quite frankly, that kind of stuff is of little concern
to me. I could not withhold this information and live with myself. No person of honor and integrity could.
As a precaution, I have registered my Internet domain name -
JimLord.to - in Tonga, an island nation in the South Pacific. I have also hidden away several copies of the Navy
Department documentation and my Internet files in safe keeping in several states. Friends are standing by to keep
this information in the public eye. Just in case.
This stuff needs to see the light of day. I intend to do
everything in my power to make that happen. Besides, you the reader are the best protection I could have. The more
of you there are, the safer I become. Do your part and get this critical information into the hands of as many
people as you can. Help keep Jim Lord out of jail (grin).
Electric Utility Failures
Somebody needs to let the North American Electric Reliability
Council (NERC) know about the Navy study. For their benefit and yours, here is a list of 29 electrical utilities
the Navy expects to fail. Read over this list carefully. Some of the Navy facilities are quite small but the electric
company that provides their service has a very large customer base. If your electrical company is included, you
need to raise hell with them and find out if they know how the Navy feels about them.
Electrical Utilities Expected to Fail
Baldwin EMC, Milton FL
Bessemer Utilities, Bessemer AL
Central Louisiana Electric, Slidell LA
City of Albany GA
City of Key West FL
City Public Service Board, San Antonio TX
Clay Electric Cooperative, Jacksonville FL
Coastal Electric Members, Jacksonville FL
Daviess Martin County Rural Elect, Crane IN
Dayton Power & Light, Dayton OH
El Paso Electric Co., El Paso TX
Escambia River Elec Co., Milton FL, Pensacola FL
Florida Power and Light, Canaveral FL, Ft Lauderdale FL
Florida Power Corp, Clearwater FL
Gulf States Utilities, Orange City FL
JEA, Atlantic Beach FL, Jacksonville FL
Knoxville Utilities Board, Knoxville TN
Middle Georgia Elec, Hawkinsville GA
Mississippi Power and Light, Gulfport MS
Northeast Utilities, New London CT
Orlando Utilities Commission, Orlando FLPort of Seattle WA
Riviera Utilities, Milton FL
Sierra Electric Cooperative, Truth or Conseq. NM
South Central Power, Columbus OH
Southern Pine Elec Coop, Milton FL
Southwest Arkansas Electric, Lewisville AR
Southwest Louisiana Electric, Broussard LA
Southwestern Public Services, Amarillo TX
Twin County Electric, Hollandale MS
Gas Company Failures
This is a list of forty gas companies the Navy Department
expects to fail. Some of the cities mentioned are quite small but the service area for the utility mentioned has
a very large customer base. Check this list carefully to see if your gas company is included.
Gas Utilities Expected to Fail
Alabama Gas Corp, Bessemer AL
Atlanta Gas Light Co., Atlanta GA
Baltimore Gas & Electric, Annapolis MD
Boston Gas, Weymouth MA
City of Albany GA
City of Bethlehem PA
City of Bossier City LA
City of Buffalo, NY
City of Great Falls MT
City of Pascagoula MS
City of Pensacola FL
City Public Service Board, San Antonio TX
Columbia Gas of Virginia, Portsmouth VA, Quantico VA
Dayton Power & Light, Dayton OH
Energas Co, Amarillo TX
Interenergy Corp, Charleston SC
Knoxville Utilities Board, Knoxville TN
Louisiana Gas Service, New Orleans LA
Mobile Gas Service Corp, Mobile AL
Mountaineer Gas, Sugar Grove WV
Nashville Gas Service, Nashville TN
New Jersey Natural Gas, Earl NJ
New York State El, New London CT
Niagra Mohawk, Watertown NY
NorAm Energy Management, Pensacola FL
North Carolina Gas, Morehead City NC
Northern Utilities, Portsmouth NH
Okaloosa Gas District, Milton FL
Orlando Utilities Commission, Orlando FL
PECO Energy, Warminster PA
Penn Gas & Water, Avoca PA, Williamsport PA
Philadelphia Gas, Philadelphia PA
Providence Energy, Newport RI
PSE&G, Kearney NJ
Rochester Gas & Electric, Rochester NY
UGI Corp, Mechanicsburg PA
United Cities Gas Co, Columbia SC
Virginia Natural Gas,
Newport News VA, Norfolk VA, Yorktown VA
Washington Gas Co.,
Arlington VA, Bethesda MD,
Carderock MD, Lexington Park MD, Washington DC
West Florida Natural Gas, Panama City FL
About the Author
Jim Lord is the author of, "A Survival Guide for the Year
2000 Problem: Consumer Solutions for the Worst Technical Blunder in History" a practical, 270 page guide to
preparation for the Year 2000 Computer Crisis. He has written nearly ninety articles on Y2K. He is also the co-editor
with James Talmage Stevens of the "Journal of Personal Freedom", a newsletter which provides practical
guidance in the restoration of Liberty through preparedness and self-reliance.
Mr. Lord has advised Congressional staffers, The
Congressional Research Service, the Department of Defense, the Center for Security Policy, and the US Taxpayer's
Alliance, and is a Y2K Research Associate at George Washington University. He has appeared on more than 200 radio
talk shows as well as Fox News, ABC NightLine, the Discovery Channel, C-Span and PAX TV.
He appeared on the same speaking agenda with Nobel
prizewinner Milton Friedman and Lady Margaret Thatcher at the Blanchard Investor Conference in New Orleans. He
has debated Y2K with Harry Browne, recent Libertarian Party presidential candidate and Gary North, a prominent
Y2K expert and writer. He has been a featured speaker at the World Future Society, the Conservative Caucus, many
investor conferences, numerous Y2K community preparedness seminars, and at the Eris Society in Aspen, Colorado.
Mr. Lord is a retired Naval Officer with 24 years active
service who came up through the enlisted ranks. His career was spent in the electronics field, including a tour
as the Electronics Maintenance Officer on an aircraft carrier. At age 33, he earned a degree in Business, graduating
with honors from the Naval Postgraduate School in Monterey, California. Following his military career, Mr. Lord
was involved in shipbuilding, communication systems design, satellite systems, software engineering, training and
marketing. This experience included nine years in the software industry. He also taught business courses at the
college level for several years.
Jim Lord can be contacted at:
JimLordY2K@aol.com
Expanded information is available at:
www.JimLord.to
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